by Otabek Saydikaharov
Spatial inequality in a country could be because of the
natural advantages of some regions comparing to others and also due to the
agglomeration effects which might lead to clustering of activities. Advantage
of first nature geography simply means that being close to rivers, coasts,
ports, forests etc. some regions may benefit from natural endowments through
specialization in certain type of activities like fishing , growing crops and
forestry. A few decades ago, there were two regions in Uzbekistan, Karakalpakstan
and Khorezm benefiting from water endowment of Amudarya and Syrdarya rivers and
of formerly one of four largest lakes in the world, the Aral Sea. During the
Soviet Union, Karakalpakstan and Khorezm specialilised in rice production and
were one of the main rice-producing regions in the Soviet Union. After the
independence those regions’ specialization did not change and they continued to
be Uzbekistan’s largest rice producing regions.
However, during the Soviet Union period two main rivers
which are sources of the Aral Sea, the Amudarya and Syrdarya, were channeled
only to irrigation and substantially used for agriculture especially in the aim
of increasing the amount of cotton and rice production. Unsustainable
irrigation projects like a massive irrigation in the Kyzylkum Desert were
introduced during this period, and continuing irrational use of water sources
after the collapse of Soviet regime created a very serious problem - the
evaporation of Aral Sea (see figure 1).
The disaster of the Aral Sea caused huge devastating
economic problems especially for the local people in Karakalpakstan and Khorezm
who were generating their income only depending on the endowments of the first
nature geography. In rural areas of these regions majority of population depend
on their farming lands for the livelihood however because of water shortages
these lands adversely affected and polluted and as a consequence local economy
decreased and rural population encountered economic hardship, malnutrition and
illness. The drought in 1999-2001 had a severe effect on Karakalpakstan’s rice
production. The agricultural land area decreased and total rice production fell
from 414,000 in 1999 to175, 000 tons in 2000.
Once in Karakalpakstan tens of thousands of people were
employed in fishing industry but now as a result of careless use of first
nature geography this industry no longer exists causing the increase in
unemployment rate and threat to poverty. According to the assessment of certain
organizations the drying up of the Aral Sea has led to direct and indirect
socioeconomic costs of USD 144 million in total.
Substantial amount of chemical pesticides were used in lands
to increase the cotton production, and later when country faced water shortages
those lands instead turned to be the source of danger. Winds then scattered the
dust of chemicals to the surrounding areas causing health problems for the
habitats and also damaging the agricultural deeds. According to observations,
there are up to 10 major dust and salt storms occurring a year in the region
and they are often between 150 and 300 km wide. In these regions, people are
mostly suffering from protein and vitamin deficiencies resulting from
malnutrition as well as anemia, tuberculosis, immunological problems, birth
defects, children’s liver, kidney and respiratory diseases because of ecosystem
contamination. The increase in levels of such various diseases has already
become one of the main concerns of the government.
Due to the irrational immense use of first nature and myopic
regional policy in the past, the current government encountered long term
adverse impact of past experience. In order to increase the production of
cotton and rice in water abundant regions so as to increase export, careless
use of water resources brought huge cost to the government. The government has been looking for possible
ways to recover the Aral Sea and consequently ecosystem condition of that
region. One of the options was to bring water from Caspian Sea but after
estimations it was found to be too costly. Since it was believed that there is
no way which can totally recover the previous condition of Aral Sea regions the
government let the habitats of Karakalpakstan and Khorezm to migrate to the
capital and get residence permit without any difficulties. As a result of huge
migration and increased demand for houses, house prices soared up in the
capital which made much more difficult situation for middle class citizens to
buy a house in the city.
Since first nature geography matters a lot in the process of
individuals’ and firms’ decision making about locations to live or operate,
each policy implemented by government should also take its importance in
regional development into account. Otherwise, adverse impact might occur and
cost the government considerably in the long term as happened in Uzbekistan.
Figure 1. The Shrinking of the Aral Sea: Socio-Economic
Impacts
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oh my god, what happened to the Aral Sea. I remember back in school, I learned about this sea, which apparently today no longer exists. How tragic is that
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